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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid communications advisor for the romn
deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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FOXNEWS
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pounding the daylights out of him, and romney's or -- >> sean: i don't get it. i don't know why we're not seeing more pounding by him. do you think it starts next wednesday in colorado? >> sometimes he says positive things about obama. he cares about the middle class. no, barack obama doesn't care about the middle class. if he cared about the middle class, he wouldn't be putting through obama tax hikes on people in the middle class. >> let me just say that next wednesday night, this is it. they need to turn this campaign around. debates are vehicles of challengers. this is his chance to do this. >> sean: we need the mitt romney that showed up after losing south carolina, where he went into that state up double digits, and came out winning by double digits -- i'm sorry -- lost by double digits, then went to florida and had two debates with newt, that's the romney i want. >> the one-on-one debate forum is not necessarily president obama's best either. they've been after him for $700 million on character. the american people get 90 minutes to see whether or not tha
pounding the daylights out of him, and romney's or -- >> sean: i don't get it. i don't know why we're not seeing more pounding by him. do you think it starts next wednesday in colorado? >> sometimes he says positive things about obama. he cares about the middle class. no, barack obama doesn't care about the middle class. if he cared about the middle class, he wouldn't be putting through obama tax hikes on people in the middle class. >> let me just say that next wednesday...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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ohio is romney's biggest problem. the reason for that is the economy is working in ohio. >> sean: thanks to john kasich. >> and romney is spending a lot of time in florida. he's shown improvements there for the republicans. we'll see. again, it's going to be very close. if the republicans don't win the senate, basically you'll have a repeat for the next four years
ohio is romney's biggest problem. the reason for that is the economy is working in ohio. >> sean: thanks to john kasich. >> and romney is spending a lot of time in florida. he's shown improvements there for the republicans. we'll see. again, it's going to be very close. if the republicans don't win the senate, basically you'll have a repeat for the next four years
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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we saw a softer message from the romney campaign in that ad. we saw a softer romney on the stump. i would do precisely the opposite. go bigger, bolder, make your case. on the bail-out question. romney hasn't mounted a defense. a great defense to be made there. washington insiderrism, give away to the unions and uaw. he would stop that. president obama engaged in it after he said he'd change washington. arguement to be made there but they're not making it. >> bret: iran's president stirs things up again at the united nations. does your phone give you all day battery life ? droid does. and does it launch apps by voice while learning your voice ? launch cab4me. droid does. keep left at the fork. does it do turn-by-turn navigation ? droid does. with verizon, america's largest 4g lte network, and motorola, droid does. get $100 off select motorola 4g lte smartphones like the droid razr. >> translator: the current abysmal situation of the world and abysmal history are due to the wrong management of the world. the proclaimed center of power who entrusted themselves to the devil. continued
we saw a softer message from the romney campaign in that ad. we saw a softer romney on the stump. i would do precisely the opposite. go bigger, bolder, make your case. on the bail-out question. romney hasn't mounted a defense. a great defense to be made there. washington insiderrism, give away to the unions and uaw. he would stop that. president obama engaged in it after he said he'd change washington. arguement to be made there but they're not making it. >> bret: iran's president stirs...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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romney and paul ryan are intensifying their focus on swing states, romney starting today in colorado before joining paul ryan in ohio where a new poll today has president obama breaking past 50%. joining me now, chris cizilla msnbc contributor and managing editor of host politics.com. this is the biggest edge that the president has had in ohio so far. and what does it mean that the romney/ryan campaign are focusing on ohio as well, the president will be going to toledo all roads leading to ohio later this week? >> that's right. look, andrea, what it means is history is close to determinative as it relates to republicans, ohio and the presidency, which is no republican presidential candidate, no republican presidential candidate, has been elected president without winning ohio. i think the bus tour in ohio begins tomorrow with mitt romney and paul ryan is a evidence that they are clearly worried. i've talked to lots of people, so much public polling out there, some showing president obama with almost a double-digit lead. i talked to most people on the republican/democratic side who sa
romney and paul ryan are intensifying their focus on swing states, romney starting today in colorado before joining paul ryan in ohio where a new poll today has president obama breaking past 50%. joining me now, chris cizilla msnbc contributor and managing editor of host politics.com. this is the biggest edge that the president has had in ohio so far. and what does it mean that the romney/ryan campaign are focusing on ohio as well, the president will be going to toledo all roads leading to ohio...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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for mitt romney it will be his first. i suppose the question is it is games man ship on most accounts but does it work? >> they're trying to lower expectations. they're trying to make the other side seem fabulous, great debaters if you will. i think everybody is onto what they're saying in advance of the debates. yi thinthey're boso debaters, the prident of the united states, i moderate rated four debates fo yrs ago when he didates and didn't have to do any this cycle because no one was challenging him forhe democratic presidential nomination. i did moderate four last time including that final one-on-on debate that he did with hillary clinton at the kodak theater in los angeles and he is very good and hillary clinton i thought was a better debater and ironically joe biden and chris dodd did really well and the president obviously got the democratic nomination. he is a very solid debater. i moderate rated four republican presidential debates with mitt romney and i have the same feeling about him. very solid. knows his stu
for mitt romney it will be his first. i suppose the question is it is games man ship on most accounts but does it work? >> they're trying to lower expectations. they're trying to make the other side seem fabulous, great debaters if you will. i think everybody is onto what they're saying in advance of the debates. yi thinthey're boso debaters, the prident of the united states, i moderate rated four debates fo yrs ago when he didates and didn't have to do any this cycle because no one was...
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Sep 29, 2012
09/12
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romney, livermore. also very strong in a primary debate, as you just alluded to, especially against gingrich. >> i'm sure fully ready to go push and shove. i hope the talks more about what he will do as president. we all knew -- we all know what obama has done. we don't need to be reminded of all of that. don't make it -- pointing out of the mistakes that the president made. make it a little more about yourself. lori: boxing gloves. >> television is a cool medium. you want your commander in chief, your president to basically looked like he is totally in control. so i would always advise a candidate in a presidential debate to never lose your cool. lori: you raise the issue of tv. it has to be exciting tv. has to be compelling and capture that audience. >> it will be a dramatic audience. and what always happens is, the first debate is the one that everybody watches. and so, people i know starting to vote early. 30-40 percent of the voters voting this time. before, the end of season. so after this debate
romney, livermore. also very strong in a primary debate, as you just alluded to, especially against gingrich. >> i'm sure fully ready to go push and shove. i hope the talks more about what he will do as president. we all knew -- we all know what obama has done. we don't need to be reminded of all of that. don't make it -- pointing out of the mistakes that the president made. make it a little more about yourself. lori: boxing gloves. >> television is a cool medium. you want your...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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governor romney said he wouldn't. governor romney said it was tragic that we entered the iraq war. one of the reasons that al qaeda strengthened during the last decade was our focus in iraq. so we are happy to have this debate and we'll have it obviously -- >> was this an intelligence failure? >> no. this was an event obviously, a complex event. we're only talking about a matter of weeks here. so as information was arrived at, as determinations were made, that was shared with the american people. and i think again the focus needs to be how do we make sure that our facilities and ambassadors and our personnel are secure going forward. and that's what the focus is on. >> as you know, the chairman of the homeland security committee has called for susan rice to resign. >> she's done an excellent job for this country and this administration. >> ben ghazi is so bad that the fbi can't even go in and investigate. what about the fact that there are military operations to find ambassador stephens' killers? what is america doing to change the trajectory in libya? >> well, i'm not going to spe
governor romney said he wouldn't. governor romney said it was tragic that we entered the iraq war. one of the reasons that al qaeda strengthened during the last decade was our focus in iraq. so we are happy to have this debate and we'll have it obviously -- >> was this an intelligence failure? >> no. this was an event obviously, a complex event. we're only talking about a matter of weeks here. so as information was arrived at, as determinations were made, that was shared with the...
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Sep 28, 2012
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romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of ese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... tanding up to china was "bad for the nation d our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? ♪ [ male announcer ] introducing a stunningk of technolog introducing the entirely new lexus es. and the first-ever es hybrid. this is the pursuit of perfection. and get outstanding deals with the travelocity fall hotel sale. you can save up to 40% on select hotels. so book your hotel now and save up to 40%. hurry, offer ends soon. book now at travelocity. >>> prisoners clash withuards at a dramatic jailbreak in northern q. lisalvester's monitoring that, some of the other top stories in "the situation room" right now. lisa, what happened? >> hi, wolf. lock down.nder they set off car bombs and overtook guards and stole their weapons. this is the aftermath of a riot at the p
romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of ese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... tanding up to china was "bad for the nation d our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? ♪ [ male announcer ] introducing a stunningk of technolog introducing the...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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FOXNEWS
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i support mitt romney. >> i'm mitt romney, and a prove this message. >> sean: anytime you run an ad and you get more on the other party supporting you, that's got to be a good ad, right, by definition? >> exactly. and what was powerful there is you've got real people. i mean this guy -- the grit on his face, and what they have to go through in mining coal, it was the kind of ad that relates to hard working working class voters, people from places like ohio and michigan. sean, the only question i have, because the ads are powerful right now, and that was a good one, why did they wait till the third week of september to start running that ad? that i don't understand. >> sean: good point, good question. obama, back to class warfare. not one of us attacking romney for his wealth, which let's see if it resonates. i don't think it will. i haven't seen the dials yet. let's take a look. >> i'm barack obama. a prove this message. >> seen these new ads where mitt romney says he's a friend of coal country? this is the guy who wants to keep tax breaks for companies that ship american jobs overseas.
i support mitt romney. >> i'm mitt romney, and a prove this message. >> sean: anytime you run an ad and you get more on the other party supporting you, that's got to be a good ad, right, by definition? >> exactly. and what was powerful there is you've got real people. i mean this guy -- the grit on his face, and what they have to go through in mining coal, it was the kind of ad that relates to hard working working class voters, people from places like ohio and michigan. sean,...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? syou know, i've helped a lot off people save a lot of money. but today...( sfx: loud noise of large metal object hitting the ground) things have been a little strange. (sfx: sound of piano smashing) roadrunner: meep meep. meep meep? (sfx: loud thud sound) what a strange place. geico®. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. i i had pain in my abdomen...g. it just wouldn't go away. i was spotting, but i had already gone through menopause. these symptoms may be nothing... but they could be early warning signs of a gynecologic cancer, such as cervical, ovarian, or uterine cancer. feeling bloated for no reason. that's what i remember
romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? syou know, i've helped a lot off people save a lot of money. but...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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cheryl: the romney reboot is underway. the mitt romney kicking off his bus tour in ohio with paul ryan at his side. the elephant in the room, the revote. can this reboot happened before romney runs out of time? let's talk about this reboot. do you think that he is sending that this reboot is coming too soon or too late? is of the wrong message? it means that romney is in trouble? >> i don't think it necessarily means he's in trouble. although a lot of people are saying that. it is mainly a matter of whether the message that he has been conveying these groups of people he is talking to in the swing states is the right one or not. i have had misgivings about it. i spent sunday looking at videotape of the stump speech that he gave in las vegas. i think it was last thursday. this was part of the review. and he said to have a plan to re-energize the american economy. the first thing we're going to do is crack down on cheaters. meaning china. the second were going to do is pursue energy independence. i'm sitting there thinking,
cheryl: the romney reboot is underway. the mitt romney kicking off his bus tour in ohio with paul ryan at his side. the elephant in the room, the revote. can this reboot happened before romney runs out of time? let's talk about this reboot. do you think that he is sending that this reboot is coming too soon or too late? is of the wrong message? it means that romney is in trouble? >> i don't think it necessarily means he's in trouble. although a lot of people are saying that. it is mainly...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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romney's proposing a different way to do it. everybody's in the middle going okay, what are we going to do. i actually think people that voted for obama are really being hardcore with him about where he's coming from and people that voted for republicans in the past are going i don't know, i got to really take a look at this. to be honest with you, i'm ill, ill and wary of politics. to turn on the tv -- >> we agree. we agree. >> it just almost gives me a headache to think about turning it on. i'm just weary of it. i think americans in general are, no matter what your affiliation. honestly, i can't stand most of them regardless of the party. >> you can take subjects that you would think would start out as john and i are completely far apart, and then once we start discussing it, then you find out how much honestly we both kind of are saying the same thing. >> who do you think would do a better job of american relations? >> if you're asking me that i think a businessman does. a businessman knows how to run a business. the question
romney's proposing a different way to do it. everybody's in the middle going okay, what are we going to do. i actually think people that voted for obama are really being hardcore with him about where he's coming from and people that voted for republicans in the past are going i don't know, i got to really take a look at this. to be honest with you, i'm ill, ill and wary of politics. to turn on the tv -- >> we agree. we agree. >> it just almost gives me a headache to think about...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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he accused romney not paying taxes. kilput my arms all the way around the law if he could get in trouble for this. i think he could. how could he make a statement, the fame and individual running for president. like romneyout right lies. >> greg: talk about going back. >> kimberly: he is not the right guy. >> greg: all harry reid has to do is apologize for making that up. >> dana: his staff tried in a way. when asked about it, he said, the spokes penn said he didn't originally say that. he was quoting somebody else. who said that, as if it makes it okay. >> bob: can we make a bet here. if i can get him to apologize, can we promise never to run reverend wright? >> dana: no. but if you get pimp with the limp on the line -- >> kimberly: time for him. netanyahu no. time for pimp with the limp and lunch an vegas and picking up checks. >> eric: we can go. we have a good segment coming up. let's go. coming up, we love us some football. n.f.l. is one of the best brands in the world. the referee lockout, putting that at risk or
he accused romney not paying taxes. kilput my arms all the way around the law if he could get in trouble for this. i think he could. how could he make a statement, the fame and individual running for president. like romneyout right lies. >> greg: talk about going back. >> kimberly: he is not the right guy. >> greg: all harry reid has to do is apologize for making that up. >> dana: his staff tried in a way. when asked about it, he said, the spokes penn said he didn't...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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the 12 point lead over mitt romney romney. how bad is this for the romney campaign? he is a genius behind the 538 blog. welcome, you are a genius. you have an extraordinary grasp. with this book, the of just question to you, 41 day to go, who is going to win? >> we have a think like a gambleler and we have an 80% favorite. that number has been going up. we actually had it first begin to peak after the conventions but since romney's 47% comments we have his 47% win. you talked about the polls are maybe some of the best numbers we have seen for obama in any state that we have seen. almost all of the swing states that you have looked at. jimmy carter has been doing pretty well. what should we see in these polls. what is the reality of their value? >> right now obama in the polls is at 53%. it means it is not good enough for romney to pick up the undecided voters. which might mean like a crisis and you rup. the bullish sign has been in the stock market which has been getting jittery like spain and europe. romney is running out of time like routine things like the debate.
the 12 point lead over mitt romney romney. how bad is this for the romney campaign? he is a genius behind the 538 blog. welcome, you are a genius. you have an extraordinary grasp. with this book, the of just question to you, 41 day to go, who is going to win? >> we have a think like a gambleler and we have an 80% favorite. that number has been going up. we actually had it first begin to peak after the conventions but since romney's 47% comments we have his 47% win. you talked about the...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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this went from lean romney to solid romney. new hampshire, the polls moved it from a lean obama to a tossup state. and interestingly enough, polls in new mexico and pennsylvania with a total of 25 electoral votes move states from obama to lean obama. these were offset by three changes that helped the obama. wisconsin moved from toss township lean obama. oregon moved from lean obama to obama. and arizona moved from romney to lean romney. this drops obama total of obama states to 196, plus he has 51 lean. romney has, grew slightly to 159 electoral votes in his column. plus 32 lean. it was a week of some change, not a lot. but generally compensating changes. >> bret: of those, the significance? >> the most significant is wisconsin moving to lean obama. it caution here, there is an outlier poll out there. a poll that shows obama leading in wisconsin by 14 points. that is skewing this. wisconsin is starting to lean. that is shrinking, shrinking the electoral map. the other surprise for me still is that north carolina remains on our
this went from lean romney to solid romney. new hampshire, the polls moved it from a lean obama to a tossup state. and interestingly enough, polls in new mexico and pennsylvania with a total of 25 electoral votes move states from obama to lean obama. these were offset by three changes that helped the obama. wisconsin moved from toss township lean obama. oregon moved from lean obama to obama. and arizona moved from romney to lean romney. this drops obama total of obama states to 196, plus he has...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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beth myers, governor romney's individualer says she -- romney's adviser, blooms. since he won't and can't talk about his record, he will talk about mitt romney. the gloves will come off. megyn: beautiful wayne, p.a. out in oregon today there is new controversy. hundreds of millions in taxpayer dollars in loans about to go to a startup solar company called solopower. many are comparing this to solyndra, the company that went bankrupt, leaving taxpayers on the hook. it's not just this controversy we want to tell you about, but what happened when fox news tried to speak with the company's ceo. dan springer streaming live from solo power in portland, oregon. >> reporter: the ceo refused to answer any of our questions at grand opening yesterday, even after taking questions from other media. solopower is getting lot of money from the government. we wanted to ask him why his company was a better gamble for taxpayers than solyndra or the others. the companies use the same raw materials. they both make thin, light, flexible solar panels that can go object big box store roo
beth myers, governor romney's individualer says she -- romney's adviser, blooms. since he won't and can't talk about his record, he will talk about mitt romney. the gloves will come off. megyn: beautiful wayne, p.a. out in oregon today there is new controversy. hundreds of millions in taxpayer dollars in loans about to go to a startup solar company called solopower. many are comparing this to solyndra, the company that went bankrupt, leaving taxpayers on the hook. it's not just this controversy...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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MSNBC
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of like romney was. kerry was perceived to do much better than bush in the debate. closed the gap substantially. there were a lot of soft democratic vote worries strayed from his side. his debate performance brought them back into the fold. that's not the case now. it's more of a mishmash of democrats and republicans and casual voters. he needs something big that's going to move that three, four points. if it's not the debate, i don't know what else it is. >> jonathan, in your column today you suggest democrats may be getting a little overconfident going into the debates. you say romney sounded reasonable on "60 minutes." he didn't sound like the guy who insulted half the country. that's hardly great expectations. that's more like "bleak house." isn't it? >> i said he trashed half the country. that's very important. he trashed half the country. >> your use of that colloquialism. >> mitt romney sounded reasonable. that's not to say he was correct or to say his policy prescriptions are the right ones for t
of like romney was. kerry was perceived to do much better than bush in the debate. closed the gap substantially. there were a lot of soft democratic vote worries strayed from his side. his debate performance brought them back into the fold. that's not the case now. it's more of a mishmash of democrats and republicans and casual voters. he needs something big that's going to move that three, four points. if it's not the debate, i don't know what else it is. >> jonathan, in your column...